GrippeAllemagneV3, Main, Exploration, bibRecord, 000412

Chances and limitations of wild bird monitoring for the avian influenza virus H5N1--detection of pathogens highly mobile in time and space.

Identifieur interne : 000412 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000411; suivant : 000413

Chances and limitations of wild bird monitoring for the avian influenza virus H5N1--detection of pathogens highly mobile in time and space.

Auteurs : Hendrik Wilking [Allemagne] ; Mario Ziller ; Christoph Staubach ; Anja Globig ; Timm C. Harder ; Franz J. Conraths

Source :

PloS one [ 1932-6203 ] ; 2009.

RBID : pubmed:19680560

Descripteurs français

KwdFr :
- Allemagne, Animaux, Animaux sauvages, Oiseaux (virologie), Sous-type H5N1 du virus de la grippe A (isolement et purification), Surveillance de l'environnement ().
MESH :
- isolement et purification : Sous-type H5N1 du virus de la grippe A.
- virologie : Oiseaux.
- Allemagne, Animaux, Animaux sauvages, Surveillance de l'environnement.
Wicri :
- geographic : Allemagne.

English descriptors

KwdEn :
- Animals, Animals, Wild, Birds (virology), Environmental Monitoring (methods), Germany, Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype (isolation & purification).
MESH :
- geographic : Germany.
- isolation & purification : Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype.
- methods : Environmental Monitoring.
- virology : Birds.
- Animals, Animals, Wild.

Abstract

Highly pathogenic influenza virus (HPAIV) H5N1 proved to be remarkably mobile in migratory bird populations where it has led to extensive outbreaks for which the true number of affected birds usually cannot be determined. For the evaluation of avian influenza monitoring and HPAIV early warning systems, we propose a time-series analysis that includes the estimation of confidence intervals for (i) the prevalence in outbreak situations or (ii) in the apparent absence of disease in time intervals for specified regional units. For the German outbreak regions in 2006 and 2007, the upper 95% confidence limit allowed the detection of prevalences below 1% only for certain time intervals. Although more than 25,000 birds were sampled in Germany per year, the upper 95% confidence limit did not fall below 5% in the outbreak regions for most of the time. The proposed analysis can be used to monitor water bodies and high risk areas, also as part of an early-warning system. Chances for an improved targeting of the monitoring system as part of a risk-based approach are discussed with the perspective of reducing sample sizes.

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0006639
PubMed: 19680560

Affiliations:

Allemagne

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Le document en format XML

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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Highly pathogenic influenza virus (HPAIV) H5N1 proved to be remarkably mobile in migratory bird populations where it has led to extensive outbreaks for which the true number of affected birds usually cannot be determined. For the evaluation of avian influenza monitoring and HPAIV early warning systems, we propose a time-series analysis that includes the estimation of confidence intervals for (i) the prevalence in outbreak situations or (ii) in the apparent absence of disease in time intervals for specified regional units. For the German outbreak regions in 2006 and 2007, the upper 95% confidence limit allowed the detection of prevalences below 1% only for certain time intervals. Although more than 25,000 birds were sampled in Germany per year, the upper 95% confidence limit did not fall below 5% in the outbreak regions for most of the time. The proposed analysis can be used to monitor water bodies and high risk areas, also as part of an early-warning system. Chances for an improved targeting of the monitoring system as part of a risk-based approach are discussed with the perspective of reducing sample sizes.</div>
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<name sortKey="Harder, Timm C" sort="Harder, Timm C" uniqKey="Harder T" first="Timm C" last="Harder">Timm C. Harder</name>
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Chances and limitations of wild bird monitoring for the avian influenza virus H5N1--detection of pathogens highly mobile in time and space.

Chances and limitations of wild bird monitoring for the avian influenza virus H5N1--detection of pathogens highly mobile in time and space.

Source :

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)

Le document en format XML

Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)

Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri

Pour générer des pages wiki